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Aaron Morris

BSc, MSc (DIC), PhD

Home Staff Aaron Morris

Aaron works on modelling the effect of climate change on forest function and productivity. He is currently looking at ways of improving current process-based models to better capture the impact of extreme weather events, principally drought.

Aaron holds degrees in ecological sciences from the University of Plymouth and Imperial College London, and undertook a PhD jointly at the Institut de recherche pour le développement in Montpellier and the University of Bournemouth, modelling the impact of land-use change and deforestation on aquatic food webs, functional ecology and disease emergence.

Prior to joining Forest Research, he has also held post-doctoral positions in ecological and epidemiological modelling at the Royal Veterinary College, Imperial College London and the University of Cambridge.

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Aaron Morris

BSc, MSc (DIC), PhD
Climate impacts modeller
Climate change


Northern Research Station

Bush Estate



Peer reviewed journal articles

Under review:

Morris A., Peel A., Glennon E. MacCallum H., Plowright R. and Restif O., The zoonotic interface: Modelling virus dynamics and shedding from fruit bat hosts

Morris A., Sherrard-Smith E., Ghani A., Modelling gene-drive impact on mosquito populations across Africa.


Gaythorpe, K., Morris, A., Imai, N., Stewart, M., Freeman, J. and Choi, M., 2021. Chainchecker: An application to visualise and explore transmission chains for Ebola virus disease. Plos one16(2), p.e0247002

Morris, A.L., Ghani, A. and Ferguson, N., 2021. Fine-scale estimation of key life-history parameters of malaria vectors: implications for next-generation vector control technologies. Parasites & vectors14(1), pp.1-12

Ruiz-Aravena, M., McKee, C., Gamble, A., Lunn, T., Morris, A., Snedden, C.E., Yinda, C.K., Port, J.R., Buchholz, D.W., Yeo, Y.Y. and Faust, C., 2021. Ecology, evolution and spillover of coronaviruses from bats. Nature Reviews Microbiology, pp.1-16.

Hoegh, A., Peel, A.J., Madden, W., Ruiz Aravena, M., Morris, A., Washburne, A. and Plowright, R.K., 2021. Estimating viral prevalence with data fusion for adaptive two‐phase pooled sampling. Ecology and evolution11(20), pp.14012-14023

Combe, M., Velvin, C.J., Morris, A., Garchitorena, A., Carolan, K., Sanhueza, D., Roche, B., Couppié,     P., Guégan, J.F. and Gozlan, R.E., (2017). Global and local environmental changes as drivers of     Buruli ulcer emergence: Environmental changes and infectious disease. Emerging microbes &     infections6(1), pp.1-11.

Morris A., Guégan JF., Andreou D., and Gozlan R. (2016) Environmentally-mediated aquatic food-web     collapse promotes hosts of human infections in the tropics. Science Advances.

Morris A., Guégan JF., Benbow E., Williamson H., Merritt R.W., et al. (2016) Functional diversity     provides a new tool for understanding the ecology of emerging infectious diseases. EcoHealth.

Guinat C., Relun A., Wall B., Morris A., Dixon L., Pfieer D. (2015) Exploring pig trade patterns to     inform the design of risk-based disease surveillance and control strategies. Scientific Reports.

Morris A, Guégan JF, Hassani H, Andreou D, Couppie P and Gozlan R. (2014) Complex temporal     climate signals drive the emergence of human water-borne disease. Emerging Microbes and        Infections.

Morris A, Gozlan R, Marion E, Marsollier L, Andreou D, et al. (2014) First detection of Mycobacterium     ulcerans DNA in environmental samples from South America. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

Carolan K., Garchitorena A., Garcia-Pena G., Morris A., Landier J., et al (2014) Topography and land     cover of watersheds predicts the distribution of the pathogen Mycobacterium ulcerans. PLoS     Neglected Tropical Diseases.