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Risk of extreme climate impacts on European Norway spruce forest drought and frost in the climate emergency

Lead Author: Duncan Ray
Published:
4th June 2025
Author(s):
Duncan Ray, Fai Fung, Felix Trotter, Fiona Plenderleith, Jennifer Pirret, Maurizio Marchi
Publication type:

Climate projections show that hot droughts and late‑spring frosts will increasingly stress key tree species such as Norway spruce across Europe, with drought severity rising sharply as temperatures warm.

The study demonstrates a new method for mapping climate‑driven risks to tree species and highlights how this can guide the selection and deployment of resilient forest reproductive material.

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